Delinquency rates for mortgages backed by commercial and multifamily properties held steady in June, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) latest monthly CREF Loan Performance Survey. The survey was developed to better understand the ways the COVID-19 pandemic is impacting commercial mortgage loan performance.
“Commercial and multifamily mortgage delinquencies continue to be driven by loans backed by hotel and retail properties that ran into trouble during the pandemic and are now more than 90 days late,” said Jamie Woodwell, MBA’s Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research. “We expect these late-stage delinquencies to wane as the economy continues to open and there is less uncertainty surrounding the prospects of these and many other property types.”
Key Findings from MBA’s CREF Loan Performance Survey for June 2021:
- The balance of commercial and multifamily mortgages that are not currently held steady in June.
- 95.2% of outstanding loan balances were current, unchanged May.
- 3.0% were 90+ days delinquent or in REO, down from 3.1% a month earlier.
- 0.2% were 60-90 days delinquent, unchanged from a month earlier.
- 0.6% were 30-60 days delinquent, up from 0.5% a month earlier.
- 1.1% were less than 30 days delinquent, up from 1.0%.
- Loans backed by lodging and retail properties continue to see the greatest stress, but lodging did see noticeable improvement in June.
- 17.6% of the balance of lodging loans were delinquent, down from 20.0% a month earlier.
- 10.0% of the balance of retail loan balances were delinquent, up from 9.5% a month earlier.
- Non-current rates for other property types were at lower levels during the month.
- 3.1% of the balances of industrial property loans were non-current, up from 1.9% a month earlier.
- 3.5% of the balances of office property loans were non-current, up from 2.4% a month earlier.
- 2.1% of multifamily balances were non-current, up from 1.8% a month earlier.
- Because of the concentration of hotel and retail loans, CMBS loan delinquency rates are higher than other capital sources.
- 8.1% of CMBS loan balances were non-current, down from 8.2% a month earlier.
- Non-current rates for other capital sources were more moderate.
- 2.7% of FHA multifamily and health care loan balances were non-current, up from 2.4% a month earlier.
- 3.2% of life company loan balances were non-current, up from 2.0% from a month earlier.
- 1.0% of GSE loan balances were non-current, down from 1.2% a month earlier.
Source: World Property Journal